Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.517344 4.100081 4.717684 5.417863 6.186494 7.001567 7.928188
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.597021 3.384684 4.280491 5.361317 6.616714 8.016250 9.681548
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.114437 3.048587 4.178687 5.614405 7.358017 9.376778 11.860050
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.668601 2.665100 3.946019 5.653745 7.812237 10.394558 13.661032
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.429025 2.497180 3.943065 5.948035 8.563146 11.771036 15.914265
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.221746 2.331998 3.910922 6.180870 9.225661 13.042829 18.061450
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.018839 2.133506 3.800594 6.283839 9.705004 14.082171 19.931858
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.815133 1.892865 3.594988 6.225772 9.949598 14.810993 21.412109
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.690490 1.759093 3.528622 6.349452 10.431377 15.846909 23.293441
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.584395 1.636141 3.461225 6.457885 10.884603 16.845297 25.135492
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.454945 1.437880 3.245617 6.320671 10.973948 17.347303 26.326877
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.347975 1.256567 3.033285 6.165879 11.020293 17.779779 27.422026
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.271758 1.124286 2.894373 6.122083 11.233933 18.458371 28.877910
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.206102 0.994966 2.742761 6.043362 11.387383 19.052765 30.229035
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.182586 0.972980 2.795458 6.309446 12.072658 20.410129 32.641852
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.144540 0.892933 2.720441 6.347883 12.403038 21.264714 34.374265
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.131369 0.888816 2.802281 6.664303 13.175758 22.767202 37.022332
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.115470 0.869025 2.847340 6.914938 13.848521 24.134049 39.497726
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.094137 0.818446 2.817572 7.025644 14.297496 25.179444 41.534815
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.068851 0.734543 2.699266 6.962684 14.459515 25.802048 42.981779
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.055865 0.697786 2.686777 7.096115 14.943266 26.905276 45.118447
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.044550 0.660600 2.667530 7.213094 15.399405 27.970630 47.209433
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.028829 0.577965 2.518711 7.064955 15.403951 28.354303 48.327367